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Indonesia's Higher Biodiesel Mandate Rollout May Be Gradual,
Indonesia insists B40 biodiesel implementation to proceed on Jan. 1
Industry individuals looking for phase-in duration expect steady introduction
Industry faces technical obstacles and expense concerns
Government financing problems occur due to palm oil rate disparity
JAKARTA, Dec 18 (Reuters) - Indonesia's plan to expand its biodiesel mandate from Jan. 1, which has actually sustained issues it could curb international palm oil products, looks significantly likely to be carried out slowly, analysts stated, as industry individuals look for a phase-in period.
Indonesia, the world's biggest producer and exporter of palm oil, prepares to raise the compulsory mix of palm oil in biodiesel to 40% - called B40 - from 35%, a policy that has actually set off a dive in palm futures and may press costs even more in 2025.
While the federal government of President Prabowo Subianto has stated consistently the plan is on track for full launch in the brand-new year, industry watchers say costs and technical challenges are likely to result in partial execution before full adoption throughout the stretching archipelago.
Indonesia's biggest fuel merchant, state-owned Pertamina, said it needs to modify a few of its fuel terminals to mix and keep B40, which will be finished during a "shift period after government establishes the mandate", spokesperson Fadjar Djoko Santoso told Reuters, without providing information.
During a conference with government officials and biodiesel manufacturers recently, fuel retailers asked for a two-month shift period, Ernest Gunawan, secretary general of biofuel producers association APROBI, who remained in attendance, told Reuters.
Hiswana Migas, the fuel sellers' association, did not instantly react to a demand for remark.
Energy ministry Eniya Listiani Dewi informed Reuters the mandate walking would not be implemented slowly, and that biodiesel manufacturers are prepared to supply the higher mix.
"I have actually verified the preparedness with all manufacturers recently," she said.
APROBI, whose members make fatty acid methyl ester (FAME) from palm oil to be blended with diesel fuel, said the federal government has not released allocations for producers to sell to sustain retailers, which it usually has done by this time of the year.
"We can't perform without order files, and order files are gotten after we get agreements with fuel business," Gunawan told Reuters. "Fuel companies can just sign contracts after the ministerial decree (on biodiesel allocations)."
The government prepares to designate 15.62 million kilolitres (4.13 billion gallons) of FAME for B40 in 2025, Eniya told Reuters, less than its preliminary price quote of 16 million kilolitres.
FUNDING CHALLENGES
For the government, moneying the greater blend might also be a challenge as palm oil now costs around $400 per metric ton more than petroleum. Indonesia uses proceeds from palm oil export levies, handled by an agency called BPDPKS, to cover such spaces.
In November, BPDPKS approximated it required a 68% increase in subsidies to 47 trillion rupiah ($2.93 billion) next year and estimated levy collection at around 21 trillion rupiah, sustaining market speculation that a levy hike impends.
However, the palm oil industry would challenge a levy walking, said Tauhid Ahmad, a senior analyst with think-tank INDEF, as it would harm the industry, consisting of palm smallholders.
"I believe there will be a delay, due to the fact that if it is implemented, the subsidy will increase. Where will (the cash) come from?" he stated.
Nagaraj Meda, managing director of Transgraph Consulting, a commodity consultancy, said B40 execution would be challenging in 2025.
"The application might be slow and gradual in 2025 and probably more busy in 2026," he said.
Prabowo, who took office in October, campaigned on a platform to raise the required further to B50 or B60 to accomplish energy self-sufficiency and cut $20 billion of annual fuel imports. ($1 = 16,035.0000 rupiah) (Reporting by Bernadette Christina; Editing by Tony Munroe and Lincoln Feast.)